Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 0.114985 0.123497 0.132318 0.142146 0.152798 0.164000 0.176681
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.103290 0.116090 0.130037 0.146392 0.165081 0.185811 0.210607
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.093431 0.108246 0.124942 0.145209 0.169223 0.196859 0.231206
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.085877 0.101955 0.120575 0.143822 0.172195 0.205855 0.249042
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.078687 0.095359 0.115114 0.140376 0.171996 0.210497 0.261274
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.075451 0.093192 0.114666 0.142742 0.178727 0.223628 0.284409
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.070631 0.088689 0.110955 0.140638 0.179479 0.229004 0.297607
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.066728 0.085071 0.108078 0.139306 0.180968 0.235170 0.311900
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.062344 0.080569 0.103782 0.135804 0.179278 0.236882 0.320052
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.059178 0.077479 0.101135 0.134280 0.180044 0.241767 0.332614
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.056962 0.075525 0.099862 0.134483 0.183078 0.249767 0.349797
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.054070 0.072511 0.097001 0.132322 0.182648 0.252818 0.359905
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.051854 0.070377 0.095315 0.131810 0.184642 0.259561 0.376037
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.051288 0.070505 0.096756 0.135778 0.193243 0.276233 0.407875
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.049127 0.068280 0.094773 0.134688 0.194344 0.281873 0.423168
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.047068 0.066104 0.092749 0.133413 0.195055 0.286882 0.437635
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.044581 0.063206 0.089556 0.130244 0.192721 0.287094 0.444440
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.043817 0.062781 0.089936 0.132419 0.198607 0.300163 0.472473
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.041944 0.060640 0.087689 0.130484 0.197994 0.302987 0.483844
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.040379 0.058897 0.085963 0.129260 0.198411 0.307405 0.498010
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.038381 0.056426 0.083040 0.126039 0.195478 0.306254 0.502622
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.036963 0.054787 0.081322 0.124636 0.195394 0.309698 0.515221
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.036019 0.053840 0.080627 0.124823 0.197887 0.317467 0.535687